With week ten all wrapped, the NFL turns to Thursday Night Football, where the New England Patriots will take on the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes Benz Stadium. The last time out, the New England Patriots (6-4) absolutely destroyed the Browns 45-7. Conversely, the Atlanta Falcons (4-5) were blown out by the Cowboys on the road 43-3.
This should be a fun Thursday night matchup as these teams are similar, with both fighting for a playoff spot in their respective conferences. New England is red hot, riding a four-game winning streak, while Atlanta has won three of their last four before losing the Cowboys. Let’s see how both of these teams stack up against each other.
New England Patriots Betting Preview: Patriots Proving They Are Contenders
After starting the year 2-4, the Patriots have rattled off four straight wins and find themselves a half-game behind the Bills for first place in the AFC East. The best word to describe this Patriots team is gritty. They don’t have many big-time superstars on the roster, and yet they somehow find ways to grind out wins.
With their running back depth being tested this week with the absence of their leading rusher, the Patriots backfield accumulated 184 yards and while Rhamondre Stevenson found the endzone twice. Additionally, Mac Jones proves he’s the number one quarterback in the draft class completing 83 percent of his passes, including tossing three scores.
Defensively, the Patriots have quietly put together one of the best overall units in the league. New England shut down Baker Mayfield and the Browns offense holding Mayfield to 73 yards in the air and seven total points. Throughout their four-game winning streak, the defense has allowed an average of 12.5 points per game, including limiting their last two opponents to single digits.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview: Falcons Fall to Fourth in NFC South Standings
The Falcons got some luck Sunday when the Bucs and the Saints lost; however, that was the only good thing that happened to them on Sunday. The Falcons looked the worst they have all season by far and will run into perhaps the hottest team in the league when they face the Patriots.
Offensively, Matt Ryan finished with the lowest passer rating in his 14-year career with an abysmal effort against the Cowboys. Ryan finished with 117 yards and two interceptions before being benched in the fourth quarter. The offense as a whole managed just 234 yards; however, the Falcons need to focus on their rushing attack.
The only thing the Falcons have been able to do this year is to pass the ball. The one-dimensional offense has led them to four wins, but the rushing attack needs to be emphasized. The Falcons rank 12th in the league in passing but rank 29th averaging just 82 yards per game on the ground.
The defense hasn’t been successful on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to walk all over them, conceding 368.3 yards per game. Atlanta was absolutely dominated on Sunday by the Cowboys, where they gained 431 yards and scored 43 points. Heading into week 11, the Falcons possess the second-worst scoring defense giving up 29.2 points per game, and it won’t get any easier against the Patriots.
Betting Lines & Odds
Early betting odds have the Patriots at -4 as the road favorite, while the point total is at 46.
Moneyline: Patriots -250 | Atlanta: +200
It’s important to note that New England is 6-4 ATS in their last ten games, while the Falcons are 4-5 ATS.
Free Betting Pick
The New England Patriots are on an absolute tear right now and are the hottest team in football. Atlanta possesses a good offense, but teams are starting to figure out how to play their one-dimensional approach. The Falcons have just been too inconsistent to have any faith in them.
The Patriots, on the other hand, have won their last four games and have averaged 37.5 points over that span. In addition, New England hasn’t lost on the road this year, going 4-0. Back the Patriots with confidence.