NFL Betting Preview Patriots vs. Bills

The Buffalo Bills (7-4) will host the New England Patriots for an exciting AFC East matchup on Monday Night football at Highmark Stadium in week 13 of the NFL. The Bills are coming off a win over the Saints, destroying them on Thanksgiving Day 31-6. Meanwhile, the Patriots are one of the hottest teams in football, rattling off six straight victories, including a win over the Titans 36-13 in their last contest. 

Let’s dive into these two AFC East foes and check out how they stack up for Monday Night.

New England Patriots Betting Preview: Patriots Looking for Seventh Straight Victory

The New England Patriots are playing championship-caliber football up to this point in 2021. New England has vaulted into first place thanks to a six-game winning streak and consistent play on both sides of the ball. Monday night should be an indication of what these teams are truly capable of.

The offense is playing extremely efficiently, outsourcing opponents by 148 points over their six-game winning streak. Offensively, the Patriots have been nothing short of electric as the unit is putting together 35.2 points per game in their last six contests. Mac Jones has been on a tear, collecting the highest passer rating in November, while the rushing attack ranks 12th in the NFL in rushing yards per game (115.4). 

On the defensive side of the ball, the Patriots have been playing even better. New England owns the second-most takeaways in the league, with a league-high 19 interceptions. They’ve also held opponents to an incredible 10.5 points per game during their winning streak. The unit enters week 13 ranked fourth overall in total defense, while leading the NFL, holding opponents to 15.8 points per game. 

Buffalo Bills Betting Preview: Bills Can Retake First Place With Win Over Patriots

The Buffalo Bills, on the other hand, have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball as well, but have been more inconsistent on offense. After putting up just 15 points in week 13, the Buffalo offense got a nice bounceback win boasting 31 points, while Dawson Knox set the franchise single-season record for touchdowns in a season. 

The offense runs through Josh Allen as he’s tied for third in the league in touchdowns (25), while adding 383 yards on the ground and three touchdowns. Allen has recently been sloppy with the ball, throwing seven interceptions in his last four games. He’ll have to clean it up against a Patriot team that leads the league in interceptions. Overall, the offense ranks fifth in total offense, while posting the second-most points per game (29.6). 

Defensively, the Bills are one of the best units in the league, leading the NFL in yards allowed (275.2) and points per game (16.5). The Bills did allow 41 to the Colts in week 11, but have held opponents to single digits four times this year, including just six points to the Saints last week.

Betting Lines & Odds

Early betting odds on MyBookie have the Bills as the -3 home favorite with the point total set at 44. You can grab the Buffalo Bills at -150 and the Patriots at +130 on the Moneyline. The Bills are 2-2-1 ATS as the home favorite, and 2-0-1 ATS in their division games. The Patriots 4-1 ATS as the away team, while 2-0 with a rest disadvantage. 

Free Betting Pick

I like the Patriots in this matchup on the road. The Bills have been very inconsistent this year, especially at home. Josh Allen is one of the most dynamic quarterbacks, but he’s struggled in his last four games throwing four interceptions, while the rushing attack is non-existent.

The Patriots are riding a hot hand, and they’ve been playing their best football on the road this year. The defense is holding opponents to a minuscule 10.5 points over their six-game win streak, including holding off Titans, Browns, and Chargers. Mac Jones has been uber-efficient, and the running game is lethal. Take the Patriots.

BetUSASports Free Pick: Patriots +3

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