NCAA Bowls Betting Preview ECU Pirates vs. Boston College Eagles – December 27, 2021

This upcoming Monday, the Boston College Eagles and ECU Pirates meet in the Military Bowl. The bookmakers are expecting a razor-tight game here, with the Eagles entering as 3 point favorites. This matchup is a classic defense versus offense type game, with Boston College bringing a ferocious defense that only allows 343.8 yards per game and ECU coming into the game with the much better offense.

 It also seems like this game is efficiently priced, as the sportsbooks have been seeing two-way action on this one with the money split almost 50-50 with the only market really getting bet big being the over, which has now moved up 3 points since the original opening number.

ECU Pirates Betting Preview:

Eastern Carolina has had an awfully good season here in 2021, going 7-5 with some very impressive wins on their resume. They also have been in great form lately, winning 4 of their last 5 with their last loss coming last time out against Cincinnati, and there is no real shame in that. I am sure they will come into this game with a plan to throw the ball more often than run, as the Boston college front 7 is quite good, and the Pirates excel in the passing game. 

That excellent passing game is led by junior QB Holton Ahlers, who has had some big games with over 3000 passing yards. However, he still has an interception problem throwing 10 picks this year, and the matchup is not exactly an easy one here against the Eagles. With the pressure he should be getting this Monday, I would look for him to target his leading receiver Tyler Snead plenty here, who runs shorter routes and who should be open as a safety valve when the Eagles blitz. 

Even though I expect the Pirates to pass primarily, it is not that they have no ability to run the ball at all, as they found one excellent RB in Keaton Hall who has put up well over 1000 rushing yards during his freshman season. It seems tough to imagine him having a big game in this spot just because of the matchup, but if the Pirates can run the ball at least somewhat decently, they will be in an excellent position to win this game. 

Boston College Eagles Betting Preview:

Even though the Eagles are only 6-6, they have also had a very nice season here in 2021, with three of their losses coming against ranked competition. Their struggles can be attributed to their starting QB Phil Jurkovic and he will not only be playing for the Eagles next year but also in this game. That should help out the passing attack and hopefully, at least for the Eagles, take some pressure off a defense that has been lights-out here in 2021.

Pat Garwo, the third, should have a big hand in the offense on Monday, with the sophomore RB rushing for over 1000 yards on the season to go along with 7 TDs. The ECU Pirates defense is stronger upfront, as opposed to the secondary, but Garwo should still find some running lanes and be a factor in the outcome of this contest. 

As I alluded to, the defense is the star of the show here, as they have been an elite unit all season long, and I do not see that changing here against ECU. One guy to look out for on the defense is Brandon Sebastian, who has 4 interceptions, and with the amount I expect ECU to throw the ball, I could certainly see him getting number 5 on Monday.

ECU Pirates vs. Boston College Eagles Betting Prediction:

I wonder why all this money is coming for the over, as it seems like the recent uptick in this total is giving us a nice opportunity to take the under. This total currently sits at 52.5. Outside of the solid defensive play, it is not like either of these teams are clinical on offense, so I see this one ending up going well under this total even though that is the market that has gotten hit with over money.

Free Betting Pick

ECU Pirates vs. Boston College Eagles Betting Verdict: Under the total 52.5

ECU Pirates vs. Boston College Eagles Final Score Prediction:  27-17 Boston College


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