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Free MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros – June 17, 2017

MLB Baseball Matchup at a Glance

  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • Date & Time: Saturday, June 17, 2017 at 8:15 PM ET
  • M/L Spread: BOS +103 | HOU -113
  • Total: 9.5
  • Quick Pick: Red Sox vs. Astros Over 9.5 runs for 3 Units

The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros will face each other on Saturday night. The Red Sox and Astros played game 1 of the series on Friday night with the Red Sox winning the opener by the score of 2-1. Both starting pitchers fared well with Fiers going 7 innings and only giving up 1 run for the Astros and Drew Pomeranz going 6 innings and only giving up 1 run.

The Red Sox and Astros played each other 7 times in 2016 with the Red Sox winning 5 out of 7 games. In the games played in 2016, 6 out of 7 games played over the posted total.

Red Sox Hope Porcello Gets Back To Form

The Boston Red Sox are 38-29 and are in 2nd place in the American League East Division. The Red Sox have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games and are only 1 game back behind the AL East leading New York Yankees.

The Red Sox will send Rick Porcello to the mound on Saturday for his 15th start of the year. Porcello has struggled this year going only 3-8 with a 4.67 ERA. He has pitched in 86.2 innings and has been pounded for 114 hits and 45 earned runs. He has let up 14 home runs this year, which is extremely unlike the Boston right hander. Porcello has not recorded a win on his record since back in May on the 23rd when he faced the Texas Rangers. In his last 8 starts, teams have teed off on him averaging at least 7 hits each game.

Astros Look To Get Back On Winning Tracks

The Houston Astros are 45-23 and hold a 11 game lead in the American League West Division over the Texas Rangers. The Astros have the largest run differential in the American League at +101. They have allowed only 266 runs this year and have scored 367 runs. The Astros are 8-3 against teams from the American League East Division.

The Astros will send David Paulino to the mound on Saturday. Paulino is 0-0 on the year in 3 starts. He currently has a 6.59 ERA, has pitched in 13.2 innings and has been pounded for 19 hits and 10 earned runs. His K/BB ratio is very good at 16 strikeouts compared to only 4 walks.

Don’t Try Beating History, Play The Over!

The last 28 times that the Astros and Red Sox have played each other, 19 times the game went over. The last 8 out of 12 games that these two played in Houston, the game went over the posted total. The offense for the Red Sox was stale on Thursday and again on Friday so I anticipate a big breakout game from their bats. The Astros had a night off on Thursday and were slow on Friday so their bats should be rested and ready to score some runs. In addition, we have 2 batter friendly pitchers on the mound tonight that are averaging a ton of hits and a handful a runs each! I like the over here for 5 units!

Pick: Red Sox vs. Astros Over 9.5 for 5 Units