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MLB Betting Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays- July 28th, 2014

The Milwaukee Brewers are doing anything possible to hold on to the top spot in the National League Central. Fortunately, they are sending one of their top pitchers to the mound tonight in 11-game winner Kyle Lohse. This is the start of a three-game inter league series between the Brew Crew and the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays have been playing great baseball of late though, and they just recently had a nine-game winning streak snapped when they lost 3-2 at home to the Red Sox on Sunday. Since they’ve been playing so well it’s pushed them just 4.5 back of the second Wild Card spot in the American League. This game will get underway tonight at 7:10pm EST, and the entire series will be played in Tampa Bay.

The Brewers are happy to have Lohse on the mound, who has now hit double-digit wins in four straight seasons. He’s gone 52-25 during that run, and he’s doing anything possible to make sure that his team holds onto their two-game lead over the Cardinals in the division. The Brewers have been very strong away from home though, going 29-21 on the season. This year, Lohse has gone 11-4 with a 3.07 ERA, and even though he suffered two losses in a row, he’s turned it around by winning two straight and giving up just one run in each of those games. He’s walked only three batters in his last four games, and when playing away from home he’s gone 7-2 through 12 road starts.

Now for the Rays, who have been playing stellar recently. During their 9-1 stretch, they’ve allowed only one team to score more than three runs. They’re sending a rookie in Jake Odorizzi to the mound, who has been great recently. In his last seven starts he’s only lost one game, and he’s trying to win his third straight game currently. In total this year, Odorizzi has gone 6-8 with a 3.97 ERA. He gave up two solo home runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Cardinals on Tuesday, but it was still a win, and was also his eighth straight start where he gave up three runs or fewer. He’s struck out 23 batters in 18 1/3 innings in his last three starts, and has gone 3-4 at home, despite posting a very strong 2.73 ERA.

Consensus

What a great game this one should be. I think we could see this one really come down to it, but I’m going to give the edge to the home team. Odorizzi has been playing great as of late, and with odds of -127 I’ll take Tampa Bay on their home field.

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