Top 5 March Madness Friday Total Picks to Make

March Madness Friday Total Picks

Hopefully everyone wins on a few games on Thursday and you build the bankroll to load up on a few total plays on Friday. We have looked over the card from top to bottom and found 5 games that stick out to us for totals.

New Mexico State vs. Baylor

One of the games that immediately jumps out at me is the New Mexico State Aggies vs. the Baylor Bears. Both of these teams are defense oriented and both can be a handful to score on. Baylor has the 16th ranked defense, only allowing their opponents to score an average of 62.7 points per game. They will square off with the #59th ranked defense allowing opponents to score 67.2 points per game. The past 33 times the Aggies have played on a neutral site, the game has gone under 24 times! The past 14 times the Bears have played on a neutral site, the game has gone under 10 times. Play The Under!

Northern Kentucky vs. Kentucky

When it comes down to playing the NCAA tournament, it is tough to play the under when a team has the #5 offense in points scored….BUT….there is exceptions to every rule. The reason I am going against this rule is because when Kentucky had their little struggle back at the end of January, beginning of February, they had a very potent offense that forced the pace of the game. They have since changed and focus much more on defense. In 8 of their last 10 games, the game played under the posted total. They will now face inner state Northern Kentucky, who held 12 opponents to score in the 60’s or less! Play The Under!

Michigan State vs. Miami Florida

The Miami Florida Hurricanes have played 6 straight games under the posted total. The Michigan State Spartans have played their last 3 straight games under the posted total. If you follow totals in most sports, when 2 teams play each other that have a trend in one way or the other, linemakers usually panic and this is a perfect example of that happening. In Michigan State’s 3 unders, the totals were 137, 138 and 142.5. In Miami’s last 6 unders, the lines were 137.5, 132, 140, 137, 136 and 116.5… why is the line currently set at 125.5 points? This is a no brainer. Play The Under!

Wichita State vs. Dayton

The Dayton Flyers are taking on the Wichita State Shockers in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Both of these teams are a tough game for anyone as they both can play good defense and have the ability to put up points on the opposite side of the ball. Dayton is averaging 76.5 points per game and Wichita State is averaging 82.1 points per game. 11 out of Dayton’s last 12 games have played over the posted total. Play The Over!

Duke vs. Troy

The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 80.7 points per game. The Troy Trojans are averaging 78.4 points per game. All thought the Blue Devils only average 80.7 points per game, in their last 10 games, they have scored 93 and 99, so the potential to score points is there. This team has really turned their season around since the return of Coach K and the offense is clicking with Jayson Tatum, Luke Kennard and Grayson Allen. The Blue Devils have 5 guys in double digits in scoring and in the tournament, I expect them to light up the scoreboard. Play The Over!