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College Basketball Betting Odds — San Diego State Can Avenge Loss to Arizona, Get to Elite Eight

The Arizona Wildcats showed the San Diego State Aztecs who was boss the first time they met each other on the basketball floor. That was very early in the 2013-14 campaign, and now they meet again, with a whole lot more at stake, in college basketball betting action that is set to take place at the Honda Center in Anaheim. The game, scheduled to begin at 10;15 PM ET, will send the winner into the Elite Eight and the championship game of the West Region.

As the NCAA Tournament began, Arizona, which as a 32-4 straight-up mark, was #4 in the Associated Press poll and #5 in the USA Today coaches poll. San Diego State is 31-4 straight-up and carries rankings of #11 with the coaches and #13 with the writers (AP).

Both of these teams have been rather proficient when it comes to beating the basketball odds; Arizona has gone 21-14 against the basketball pointspread, while San Diego State is 19-13. When you look at the over/under figures, you will see that these two also prefer a deliberate game that is defense-oriented. San Diego State has played 23 of 31 posted games under the total, while Arizona has 21 “unders” in 31 posted games.

In the college basketball betting odds that have been established at Bookmaker for this contest, the Wildcats are the decisive favorites:

Arizona Wildcats -8
San Diego State Aztecs +8

Over 121.5 points -110
Under 121.5 points -110

For Arizona, Thursday night’s game is largely a matter of being able to defend in the half court the way they did the first time around against SDSu, as they allowed just 36% from the field and capitalized on an eleven-point lead at the half to win by a 69-60 score that covered for them against the college basketball lines. Arizona had more useful size in that November 14 game and saw a coming-out party of sorts for freshman Aaron Gordon, who came into the program with much hype and has assumed a more prominent role as time has progressed because of the injury absence of starting forward Brandon Ashley, who broke his foot two minutes into a February 1 game with California, which perhaps not so coincidentally was the first loss of the season for the Wildcats.

Gordon, however, is a liability from the free throw line (just 43% on the year), and that brings us to something that may play a role in this game – the ability of the two squads to hit from the line. They are both rather inept (Arizona 65.5%, SDSU 66%), so if it is close it comes down to which individual is going to be taking the critical foul shots, and ‘Zona hopes it’s not Gordon.

Between these two, Arizona (the -385 straight-up favorite in the money line at Bookmaker) is probably going to be the one that is better at getting out of transition, and they have a playmaker who can make that happen in Nick Johnson, but Bookmaker customers should know that this is not a team that is loaded with shooting ability or can be very creative in the half-court setting. Not having Ashley probably hurts them in this respect. Meanwhile, one player who could be a difference-maker here is Dwayne Polee, a West Coast native who came east to play for Steve Lavin at St. John’s, and then transferred to San Diego State. He did not play in the first meeting with Arizona, but he is a major contributor now who supplies this team with offense off the bench (15.5 ppg his last four), not to mention an element that can stretch out the Arizona defense a bit, where Johnson & Co. might have been able to concentrate almost exclusively on SDSU star Xavier Thames (19 points in first encounter).

If experience means anything to you, then you will want to bet where the line originates. So go with the pros at Bookmaker!

 

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