Basketball Betting Odds & Picks — Suns Have Ultimate “Must-Win” Situation vs. Grizzlies

Do the Phoenix Suns want to stay in the playoff race? Well, this is their last gasp. On Monday night the Suns will play host to the Memphis Grizzlies in basketball betting action that is set to get underway at 10:05 PM ET at the US Airways Center in the Valley of the Sun.

It is pretty clear as far as Phoenix’s objective is concerned. If they do not win, they are out of the running and Memphis will clinch the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. if they DO win, they live to play another day, and that day will be Wednesday, when they face Sacramento, where again they would have to win and hope that Dallas can go to the FedEx Forum and beat the Grizzlies, who have won thirteen straight in their own building.

In the basketball betting odds that have been posted at WagerWeb on this game, the Suns are laying a small number:

Phoenix Suns -3
Memphis Grizzlies +3

Over 210.5 points -110
Under 210.5 points -110

One of the reasons the Suns find themselves in this predicament is that they have lost all three meetings with the Grizzlies this season, and therefore will lose out in the event of a tie in the standings. Memphis has had good fortune in dissecting the Phoenix defense, shooting slightly above 50% over those three games. Point guard Mike Conley has really shined in these matchups, averaging 20 points and nine assist. And when they are able to get themselves going with the inside game, they are a hard team for the Suns – whose strength is more concentrated in the backcourt – to contend with.

WagerWeb customers understand what we mean when we talk about the strength of the Suns, because they have had a winning combination with Goran Dragic and Eric Bledsoe at guard, which has been a great coaching move from Jeff Hornacek, who paired the two and had them share ball-handling duties. Gerald Green also came in off the bench in more of a swingman capacity, and Phoenix went from being a team with little or no possibilities to one that everybody started to take very seriously.

Well, perhaps we should say they were taken seriously to a certain extent. It seems the oddsmaker never really caught up to the Suns, who have compiled a record of 51-28-1 going against the basketball betting odds, which is the best such mark in the league. That constitutes a tremendous overachievement, which is why some NBA bettors believe that perhaps Jeff Hornacek should be at the forefront of coach of the year consideration.

But will he be thought of that way if his team doesn’t make it to the post-season? It does not seem likely. One guy who could hold the key is Dragic, who has been dealing with a painful sprained ankle. It was bad enough that Hornacek had to sit him out against the San Antonio Spurs, and when Dragic finally got back in against Dallas the other night, he shot just six for 18. We know he won’t be 100%, but how far off his normal game will he be?

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